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Synthesis: The PPM Landscape (2008–2026)

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#ppm #synthesis #landscape #survey

On this page

1. Prediction targets
2. Model-family evolution — four eras
Era 1 — Classical probabilistic (2008–2015)
Era 2 — Deep learning debut (2017)
Era 3 — Neural refinement (2018–2020)
Era 4 — Transformers & beyond (2021–2023)
Era 5 — Foundation-model PPM (2024–2026)
Surveys & standards (spanning all eras)
Supporting references
3. Cross-cutting design axes
4. The "no single best method" recurring claim
5. Connections to APM
5b. Riess research arc (2022–2026)
6. Open threads for future ingests
7. Practical recommendations for APM use