--- title: "Process Mining 2.0: From Insights to Action" type: source tags: [process-mining, keynote, prescriptive-monitoring, apromore, vision] authors: [Dumas Marlon] year: 2021 venue: "AI4EPT workshop @ PAKDD 2021 (keynote slides)" kind: presentation raw_path: "raw/Predictive process monitoring/Dumas - from insights to action.pdf" created: 2026-04-13 updated: 2026-04-13 key_claims: - Process Mining 1.0 stopped at insights; Process Mining 2.0 must drive action. - Prescriptive process monitoring recommends interventions, not just predictions. - The loop from mining to action passes through prediction, causal inference, and intervention evaluation. --- # Dumas 2021 — Process Mining 2.0: From Insights to Action (Keynote) Keynote slides by [[entities/marlon-dumas]] delivered at the AI4EPT workshop at PAKDD 2021. Not a peer-reviewed paper — a vision presentation. ## Thesis Process Mining 1.0 stops at **insights** (a discovered model, annotated with performance). Process Mining 2.0 must close the loop to **action** — intervention recommendations, causal reasoning about what-if scenarios, and measurable business impact. ## Relation to broader literature The argument is the conceptual predecessor of the *Augmented Process Execution* paper ([[sources/2023-chapela-campa-augmented-process-execution]]) and foreshadows the [[concepts/conversational-actionability|Recommend]] enactment role in APM ([[sources/2026-calvanese-agentic-bpm-manifesto]]). Sits at the **prescriptive** end of the descriptive→predictive→prescriptive analytics pyramid. Siblings in the prescriptive space: - [[sources/2014-groger-prescriptive-analytics-bpo]] — Gröger, Schwarz & Mitschang's early rBPO paper (BIS 2014) is the **predecessor** to Dumas's vision: a concrete architecture (process warehouse + decision-tree prediction + decision-tree recommendation) for prescriptive analytics in BPM, preceding this keynote by 7 years. - [[sources/2022-kubrak-prescriptive-ppm-slr]] — Kubrak, Milani, Nolte & Dumas's PrPM SLR (2022) is the **formalisation** of the field this keynote called for: it catalogues 37 methods along six dimensions and names the research gaps (in-vivo validation, causal policies, terminology). ## Philosophical bite Closing the loop from prediction to action smuggles in a strong causal commitment: the recommended intervention must *cause* the improved outcome, not merely correlate with it. This is an [[concepts/interventionist-theory-of-causation|interventionist]] claim and carries all the caveats the PHI403 course raises about [[concepts/rct-limitations|external validity]], [[concepts/mechanisms-in-science|mechanism]], and individual-vs-population [[concepts/probabilistic-causation|propensities]] — see [[sources/2023-anjum-rocca-phi403-causation-in-science]]. ## Connections **Concepts:** [[methods/process-mining-basics]] · [[concepts/predictive-process-monitoring]] · [[concepts/prescriptive-process-monitoring]] · [[concepts/conversational-actionability]] · [[concepts/intervention-policy]] · [[concepts/interventionist-theory-of-causation]] · [[concepts/causation]] **Authors:** [[entities/marlon-dumas]] **Related sources:** [[sources/2014-groger-prescriptive-analytics-bpo]] · [[sources/2022-kubrak-prescriptive-ppm-slr]]