--- title: "PHI403 Lecture 06 — Under Ideal Conditions" type: source tags: [philosophy-of-science, idealisation, ceteris-paribus, causal-isolation, cartwright] authors: [Anjum, Rani Lill; Rocca, Elena] year: 2023 venue: "PHI403 Causation in Science, NMBU" kind: handout raw_path: "raw/Philosophy of Science/PHI302 06 Under Ideal Conditions.pdf" created: 2026-04-20 updated: 2026-04-20 key_claims: - Scientific laws are typically stated with a ceteris paribus clause ("all else being equal") that cannot be fully specified. - Cartwright (1983, 1999) and Dupré (1993) argue reality is irreducibly "dappled"; universal exceptionless laws are artefacts of idealisation. - Strategies to rescue perfect laws — probabilistic reformulation, causal isolation, exhaustive condition-listing — each have costs. - The ceteris paribus clause risks making causal claims vacuously true ("C causes E, unless it doesn't") — unfalsifiable. --- # PHI403 Lecture 06 — Under Ideal Conditions Continues the critique of strict regularity by examining the **idealising** moves that make laws look exceptionless. Theoretical physics enjoys frictionless falls, perfect vacua, near-light speeds. But medicine, biology, psychology, and the social sciences almost never see ideal conditions. **Nancy Cartwright** (*How the Laws of Physics Lie*, 1983; *The Dappled World*, 1999) and **John Dupré** (*The Disorder of Things*, 1993) argue reality is irreducibly messy; imposed order is artificial. The lecture catalogues strategies for getting laws from irregularities: - **Probabilistic laws** ("C causes E with probability P") — universal but less useful for prediction. - **Causal isolation** — build closed systems (lab, thought experiment) to exclude interferers; external validity suffers. - **Ideal conditions** list — "C causes E under cond₁…condₙ excluding interferers₁…interfₙ" — exhaustive but impossible. - **Ceteris paribus clause** — "all else being equal"; practical but risks making claims unfalsifiable. The lecture's punchline: *if the effect is guaranteed only whenever it actually follows, how are we better off than before?* The ceteris paribus clause hides the problem rather than solving it. ## Connections Back-link: [[sources/2023-anjum-rocca-phi403-causation-in-science]]. Concepts: [[concepts/regularity-theory-of-causation]] · [[concepts/dispositionalism]] · [[concepts/rct-limitations]] (external validity).